The results of the Moody's primary are in. And the winner is: President Barack Obama (but not in North Carolina).
Last week Moody's Analytics released its projection of the 2012 election. Using a model that considers economic factors, including the recession, it projects the national outcome as well as those in all 50 states.
A similar model in 2008 version forecast not only the election results but the number of electoral votes Obama won over Republican Sen. John McCain.
In North Carolina, Obama would get only 47 percent of the vote under the Moody’s model. In 2008 he won the state by 14,000 votes.
Moody’s identifies three key states: Florida, Virginia and Ohio, and gives Obama the latter two.
“The president’s re-election is not assured,” writes Xu Cheng, a senior economist at Moody’s. “In three key states – Florida, Virginia and Ohio – each party’s chance of winning is nearly 50%. If all three states go Republican, it would only take one additional state’s electoral votes to give the White House a new occupant in January.”
Jim Morrill
Home loan forgiven? It may count as income
9 years ago
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24 comments:
B.S. and meaningless.
There are current indications that the economic recovery is faltering and this cannot have been accounted for in this "study". Also, we don't even know who the Republican challenger will be yet so that makes it meaningless as well!
This is nothing but free media attention for Moody's.
DNC should have choose Cleveland.
2010 should have told them that.
I believe you were looking for the word "chosen."
1:47, I'm glad that they did not "have choose" you for a communications role...
Love Obama. He's brilliant.
To John... I don't think it matters who the republicans select, all of the current lineup would lose... Although depending on who is it, I think Obama's lead may widen
Also, we don't even know who the Republican challenger will be yet so that makes it meaningless as well!
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Well if you do not know who the republican nominee will be I will let you in on a secret, IT WILL BE ROMNEY!!
Moody's is extremely accurate and a widely used analytic source. I would have to say that if this is their prediction, Mitt Romney save your money and heartache. 2016 could be a better year for you.
Southernboy JJ
I'm not a big Obama fan by any means however, I've got $500 to bet he wins hands down over any of the current republicans running.....If you want to beat the man you've got to put someone out there with just a tiny bit of intelligence, I mean anyone with a really miniscule bit of intelligence.
"Tiny bit if intelligence", Dude? Mitt Romney many misspeak occasionally, but you are an intellectual insect compared to him.
When government gives you everything you want without working for it, why wouldn't you vote for the head Sheeple?
It's not that difficult. Who that voted for Obama in 08 is now going to vote for Romney or Santorum?
Way to go Pravda. Keep slinging your crapola.
Can someone name on important thing that this nitwit is going to run on besides the bimbo from Georgetown? Just wait until gas hits $4.5 a gallon this summer and FYI, the unemployment is not dropping, we have 2.2 million less people in the workforce now under this clown.
You can tell voters who want Obama....they have their hand out in front....
Lets get this ship upright in November....Vote Republican....
Or, get ready for some of the biggest tax increases you'll never want to see plus $6 a gallon gas.....
How can they determine a winner when we don't even know who he's running against? I don't believe this for one moment! Come back in 6 months and then we'll discuss!
Too bad attempted mindwash hogwash wont help the DNC failure for the one termer and his $5 a gallon gas that he cant do anything about or so he says.
Hard to believe any would waste good expensive gas like this too.
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/teenagers-poured-gasoline-boy-walking-home-school-set-fire-cops-article-1.1033062
Polls had Carter winning in a landslide in 1980. How did that turn out?
Nobama will not win nationally. Too many hardworking folks have suffered enough. They will vote him out. Even though the GOP hasn't a candidate worth a snap, anything is better than obama. Anything.
WHEN YOU DUMMIES ARE GOING TO LEARN! No matter if you vote on a donkey or elephant gas will not go down. OPEC doesn't CARE. We should of listen to Jimmy Carter energy plan 35 years ago. USA politics didn't use forward thinking
Maybe this will explain it all: http://rt.com/usa/news/moodys-downgrade-us-091/
Most of the comments here are disgusting. All of the name calling only reminds me of why government is broken. Why can't you discuss the issues without trashing both sides? I want to see intelligent post, not nonsense.
The only poll that will matter is the one taken on November 6, 2012. Moody giving NC to the GOP is more than a bit premature. But it probably will at least accomplish some of its real goal to give hope even if it is false to the GOP.
How can intelligent American citizens reelect some inexperienced community activist rookie who has done NOTHING but waste FIVE TRILL and bump the jobless rate to 10% that is 40% since 30% work for the Fed Govt?
Whether or not he is the first only 1/2 & 1/2 prez is a moot point. WHAT HAS HE DONE? ZIPPO. He now says he can do nothing about gas prices? He is the fucking president right? Stop selling that snake oil.
And he wants to legalize 50 mill illegals to take jobs and waste more trillions? What is his idiot logic? Reduce the white majority to minority? Why? That is pure evil racist & counter productive plus wont happen.
Does he want a non-white 3rd world America? The guy is insane like the whole pc age.
Whites must retain a majority to lead & benefit all Americans & maintain its superior elite western capitalist modern 1st world top status to make all its diversity races better off wih a higher standard of living.
China is proof.
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